6:45
- Get up. Don cycling gear, eat, brush teeth, check the
rain gauge (no rain as usual) and the anemometer (thing that
measures the wind) - cripes, I’m a weather weeny from hour one!
Wind’s from the south, so head to work up the bike path along
the glorious (though somewhat foggy) Port Phillip bay.
I’m soon at the Bureau of Meteorology
in the city. Shower. Bolt up to the office. The day starts a-proper.
9:05 - I’ve
still got my bag over my shoulder, but can’t help chatting to
Dave Jones – the head of climate
analysis for Australia,
my boss
and weekend mountain bike buddy. “How are those graphs looking
for our Northern Australia paper?” We’re
putting together a paper on the incredibly hot
(and dry) start to 2005. When you take away the impacts
of the low rain (and hence little cloud), it’s been a far hotter
start to the year than you would expect. In fact - for northern
Australia
- easily the hottest wet season on record.
9:35 – Checked
that a PPQ (Possible Parliamentary Question - if you don’t have
a TLA in this business, you’re a nobody) I’d prepared
the day before had been received and was ok. We have to brief
the federal minister
and his parliamentary secretary on possible questions that
may get asked in parliament. We also have to give them the answers
– that’s our job, after all. In this case, we informed them
of the hot and dry start to the year, and the chances
of an El Niño, which are currently somewhat higher than
normal.
9:40 – Get
a phone call from NSW office about El
Niño, and what we are thinking…
9:45– Received
the updates from the IRI
(International Research Institute for climate prediction) in
New York, with
their thinking of the El Niño situation. They’ve eased off with
their forecast,
which is a bit different to ours… science is all about discussion
and consideration of other all angles. I’ll send an email to
Tony from IRI to get
his finer points.
10:00 – Check
my bay
winds page! I windsurf all too much
(which is barely enough) and hence my passion for windsurfing
and weather collide beautifully in a web page I run from my
alma mater, Melbourne Uni, showing the winds
on Port Philip bay. Still check it every day. Check the emails
from users too. Not much feedback today. Lotsa spam though.
I hate spam.
10:05 – Check
out a web site sent to me that lists the various greenhouse
denialists groups, and where they get their money. It’s somewhat
depressing.
10:10 – Ok,
time for some real work. Each month we put together a document
called the South Pacific Seasonal Outlook Reference Material
(SPSORM) that gets sent to out friends in the South Pacific,
outlining our current thinking about El Niño
and climate in general, and the impacts for the region. We get some good feedback on this, as many of
the meteorology
services in the South Pacific are very small, and hence
unable to support a large climate science program as we are
so lucky to have in Australia.
10:45 – Lyn
Bettio, like me a Melb
Uni graduate, and more recently the person contracted to
help me do my work here in the National Climate Centre (NCC),
has an interview for a permanent job with us. Cross fingers
– she’s a good find.
11:40 – Ring
up my old PhD
supervisor, Prof
Ian Simmonds, to warn him that I’ve just dobbed him in to
do an interview on climate change impacts in the Antarctic with
the ABC’s “World Today” radio program. “Don’t worry – you’ll
keep Watkins!” he yells as he learns it was me who fingered
him to do it… he he he…
12:00 – Speak
to Ann in our Brisbane
office about a tricky interview she might have. A leaked report
about water has revealed that the water may run out in Brissy
over the next few years if they don’t get reasonable rainfall.
The media is asking Ann about long term rainfall
outlooks.
12:20 - Lunch!! Yum yum! Gather the lunch crew and wander
over the bridge to Collins Street
and find a nice spot to eat. Always healthy to get out of your
building and see the sun. (Note – don’t actually look
at the sun.)

13:30 - Back in the office and laughing at an email sent
from a climate change denialist (this time a computer technician
from Croydon) to a professional climatologist colleague at Monash
Uni. Any email that starts with the somewhat classic line “I
have to ask - are you a total ignoramus who refuses to examine the facts
or just a tosser ?” has to be worth a read! His “facts”
have me calling “BINGO” on the Global
Warming Sceptic Bingo Game in about half a page!
13:40 – Back
into the SPSORM. Write, think, write, think… it’s a tricky El
Niño situation right now, and its vitally important we convey
the complexity in a way others will understand.
15:45 – Send
out the SPSORM to our South Pacific friends – there’s several
countries and around 60 people who receive it. Phew… it’s a
big job and normally takes 2 days once a month. Lyn has helped
me out heaps with this one.
15:55 – Start
on the answers to a bunch of questions from WMO –World Meteorological Organization - the United
Nations weather and climate people. I’ve been co-ordinating
a big climate summary and analysis for the globe in 2003. The
editors and lay-out people in Geneva,
WMO’s home base, need some more text and images for a section.
Argh! Chase down some images and write some captions.
16:45 – Answered
some questions arising from the SPSORM sent out earlier. A person
from our research centre
wants to know how the globe could have just had its
3rd warmest ocean temperatures on record for March,
yet the maps of ocean
temperatures look so bland and normal (let him know it’s
just that the maps ARE bland… if we look at a different contour
range, it does indeed look consistently warm.)
17:35 – sent
answers to questions and some suggested images to WMO.
17:45 – listened
on the net to Prof Simmo’s
interview on the ABC. Not bad for an old guy! J
17:50–
clean up a weeks worth of emails, jot down some reminders in
the diary for next week, then check
the weekend weather – as any good windsurf junkie would
do on Friday night!
18:05
- head for the bike cage and an evening cycle home along
the bay again.
That’s
my day.
Andrew
Watkins was always interested in how things worked when
he was in high school, particularly how things worked in nature.
He was wrapped over the knuckles several times in Chinese language
lessons by a somewhat zealous teacher for preferring to gaze
out at the clouds than draw characters. This Pavlovian training
stalled his interest momentarily, so at Melbourne University
he studied physics. However when this became too esoteric, and
he was trapped in a basement for pracs unable to see clouds,
he dropped quantum mechanics (“NOBODY drops quantum mechanics
Watkins!” cried the Prof) and wandered over the bridge to Earth
Sciences. There a Professor encouraged him to gaze at the clouds
during lectures, and marked him well for doing so. It was meant
to be.